Most exit polls predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its allies would return to power in Delhi after 27 years. The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) was projected to finish in second place, while the Congress was expected to come in a distant third.

According to different poll agencies, the BJP-led alliance could win between 36 and 60 seats, while AAP might secure 10 to 37 seats. Congress was projected to win a maximum of three seats, and some polls even predicted that it might not win any seats at all.

However, AAP leaders strongly rejected these exit polls. They said that in past elections too, the party was shown with fewer seats in exit polls but went on to win by a large margin. The final results will be announced on February 8, 2025.

Exit poll results show a BJP lead

Different polling agencies gave varied predictions, but most of them favoured the BJP-led alliance. Here are some key projections:

  • Chanakya Strategies: BJP and allies 39-44 seats, AAP 25-28 seats, Congress 2-3 seats.
  • JVC: BJP and allies 39-45 seats, AAP 22-31 seats, Congress 0-2 seats.
  • DV Research: BJP and allies 36-44 seats, AAP 26-34 seats, Congress 0 seats.
  • Matrix: BJP 35-40 seats, AAP 32-37 seats, Congress 0-1 seat.
  • P-Marq: BJP and allies 39-49 seats, AAP 21-31 seats, Congress 0-1 seat.
  • People’s Insight: BJP and allies 40-44 seats, AAP 25-29 seats, Congress 0-2 seats.
  • People's Pulse: BJP and allies 51-60 seats, AAP 10-19 seats, Congress 0 seats.
  • Poll Diary: BJP and allies 42-50 seats, AAP 18-25 seats, Congress 0-2 seats.

However, two agencies, Mind Brink and WeePreside, predicted an AAP win:

  • Mind Brink: AAP 44-49 seats, BJP 21-25 seats, Congress 0-1 seat.
  • WeePreside: AAP 46-52 seats, BJP 18-23 seats, Congress 0-1 seat.

If these predictions turn out to be true, the BJP will return to power in Delhi after a long gap. On the other hand, AAP might struggle to secure a fourth consecutive term.

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AAP rejects exit polls, calls them inaccurate

The AAP strongly dismissed the exit poll results. Party leaders claimed that pollsters have always underestimated their performance in the past.

AAP leader Saurabh Bharadwaj said, “We have contested this fourth election in Delhi. The exit polls of 2013 and 2015 had defeated us. In 2020, our seats were shown to be fewer, and in the exit polls of 2025 too, our seats are being shown to be less. The AAP is going to form the government with a huge majority, and all these exit polls will be proven wrong.”

AAP’s chief spokesperson Priyanka Kakkar also rejected the predictions. She said, “Be it 2013, 2015, or 2020, exit polls have never been right about the AAP. Every time, the AAP has stormed to power with a massive mandate, and this time will be no different.”

Another AAP spokesperson, Reena Gupta, told PTI, “Exit polls have historically underestimated the Arvind Kejriwal-led party, but in actual results, the party gains several times more than these projections.”

She further added, “You look at any exit poll—whether in 2013, 2015, or 2020—the AAP was always shown getting a smaller number of seats. But it got a greater number of seats in the actual results.”

The party believes that it will return to power with a majority under Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal’s leadership.

While the AAP rejected the exit polls, the BJP welcomed the predictions. Delhi BJP president Virendra Sachdeva said, “Our victory will be more spectacular than what exit polls had shown.”

He further stated, “Voters of Delhi chose to shed off the corruption and anarchism of Mr. Kejriwal’s government and chose the BJP, which stood for development.”

BJP leaders believe that these exit polls reflect the people’s desire for change in the government. They are hopeful of a big win on February 8.

Delhi Assembly Elections: Key facts

  • More than 1.56 crore people were eligible to vote in Delhi’s 70 Assembly constituencies.
  • The Election Commission set up 13,766 polling stations at 2,696 locations.
  • A total of 699 candidates contested the election.
  • AAP and Congress fielded 70 candidates each, while the BJP fielded 68 candidates.
  • Two seats were contested by BJP’s allies, Janata Dal (United) and Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas).

In key constituencies, major political figures faced strong competition:

  • In the New Delhi constituency, Arvind Kejriwal contested against Parvesh Sahib Singh (BJP) and Sandeep Dikshit (Congress).
  • In Kalkaji, Chief Minister Atishi contested against Ramesh Bidhuri (BJP) and Alka Lamba (Congress).
  • In Jangpura, former Deputy CM Manish Sisodia contested against Tarvinder Singh Marwah (BJP) and Farhad Suri (Congress).

Final results on February 8

The Delhi Assembly election took place on February 5, and the counting of votes will happen on February 8. The majority mark in the 70-member Assembly is 36. Currently, AAP has 62 MLAs, BJP has eight, and Congress has none.

With a voter turnout of nearly 58% by 5 PM on polling day, all eyes are now on the final results. While exit polls predict a BJP victory, AAP remains confident of proving them wrong once again.

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